Friday, 28 December 2012

28th Dec :

9:41 AM :
SHORT TATA MOTORS . current mrp 310.80 SL day high

10:20 am : Those who know me , I believe if the prices dances near the low point of the day and keeps on making new lows , Stay Short till you can .

TATAMOTORS , SL @ Cost

10:50 am : TATAMOTORS in RED.
                 Kya batayen mousi ladka heera hai ;)

12:45 pm : HnS in 2 min. Stay Short with SL 311.
                  I am away for the day .

GoodLuck.

SS 

JAN Expiry FIRST TRADE :


NIFTY : I need more time to get the sync back.
STOCK :

I will like to go LONG in ITC
Some where this selection has a base , Nifty rally is over and we should start softening up eventually Reverse Gear.

When ever a Rally ceases , first RED days ,  FMCG stocks continue the rally.
Somewhere in the background I was looking any pick among them.

Among all ,ITC has pleased me with it's chart.
Gave a close above 5 ema ,trading near the lower end of the channel.
Volumes drying up .
RSI Oversold.
MACD is making a curve to upwards now.

Stop Loss : 288
First target : 294
And a fly above 294 , if it sustains.
Cant have a better risk reward ratio.

Daily Chart :

December rally ka ...., Last Nifty Trade ka....sabka badla lega tera faizjal..

SS








Wednesday, 26 December 2012

EOD 26th DEC :

Got completely Stumped .

What the guru Alexander quotes about such irrational days of trading :

There will be days when Market defies all the technical s. The moves can be irrational and will non stop hit your SL or will make you post losses. You will tend to lose faith in technical analysis.
These are the times when most of lose hearten traders bid adieu to markets.

But when it happens ?
Whenever it happens : The reason being technical's ain't bluffing .It's some major fundamental change going beyond trader's sight .

Market moves on FUNDAMENTALS.
TRADING or technical analysis is just a way to track market movement.
Its the ECONOMICS that runs prices , NOT the trading indicator's or charts.

What is going on is seen by technical's but WHY it is going on , a finance guy or a fundamental analyst would always have a edge over it.

These days are rare but they do appear at times.
Something is cooking presently , I have no clue about it. Might be it has something to do with RBI infusion of liquidity into markets but my knowledge in this circuit is 00.

All we need to do is wait and let the market settle . I have no idea how much time that can take. May be a day , a week or even months.

Alexander recommends going on vacation at these junctures and resume with all your strength when technical's are back into action.

I am taken by a hit and I am staying out.
Will resume when Market digests all its fundamental changes.

See you all soon.

SS











26th Dec :

9:10 am :Shoot your SHORTS at the opening tick.
              JAN Puts.
9:20 am :  Day high done. Place your SL @ 5871
                 Relax till your SL is virgin.

10:30 am : Negative DIvergence in this new high. Save your SL or initiate FRESH SHORTS,
JAN Puts.

10:50 am : Hns in formation in 2 min. Hold your balls tight and let the bet play it for you ;)

11:05 am : Its all fake , All that green efforts are foxy. All that bounce attempts are crap. All this euphoria should not misguide you. Stay SHORT.h

11:16 am : This new high is again a shorting opportunity. This is the day only 'real men' should play. This is the day only confidence should pay.

11:28 am : 5891 as ultimate SL. Market does not follows me , I need to follow markets.
                   5889 is the 5 ema in daily charts. Thats the only resistance we have right now.

11: 33 am : I am knocked out from shorts and have posted a significant loss. I dont know what is the issue. But somehow i am thrown out of my all running trades.

SS

Tuesday, 25 December 2012

Trade Plan 26th DEC :


NIFTY : 

What is stopping the fall. What's that light which is holding the BLACK DAY ?
We go and hold near 5843.

Its the 22 ema , as I had posted a possibility few days back , prices will come back and kiss 22 ema  for sure. Thankfully it did.

But what is making me my bearish views go on ?

MACD : The GodFather Indicator has posted a negative divergence.
Support : For now if its the daily 22 ema (5843) , prices are not coming up with a meaningful bounce from there. We are doing round and round near the support levels.
And I believe if the prices don't show a considerable bounce from support levels and cling near to it , sooner or later it gets BROKEN.

SHORT all your WORTH if prices fall below 5843 and place a SL 5845
I have already shorted giving a room for prices to dance till 5/13 ema 5889 (my SL)
I am waiting for one that BLACK DAY where we are capable enough of posting 100 points slide.




Lets see how it pans out.
Though my all mathematics counts RED , a gap up or a fast fly from 22 ema can spoil the game.
Nifty has that capability to crush all your intellect . It does often.

Merry Christmas .
And a very happy birthday to Mr. Atal Bihari Vajpayee.

SS






Monday, 24 December 2012

24 DEC :

9:30 AM :

SHORT NIFTY.
SL Day High 5870
Current : 5861

9:40 am

Increasing the confidence.
Decreasing the risk.

Stop Loss @ 5863

9:43 am

Tata Motors in RED.
Interested parties ,refer my yesterday post.

10 :25 AM

Kaali mitti kutta kaala
Kaala bilkul surme waala
Kaala kauwa, hauwa kaala
KAALA BAADAL GIRNE WALA
KAALA MOTI, GIRNE WALA
Kaala jhanda, danda kala
Kaala batwa, paisa kaala
Kaali aankhon jaisa kaala
Kaali agni
Kaali garmi, suraj kaala
Kaala beegha aur gaj kaala
Kaali hathi hathi kaala kaala…
Bairi coal coal coal, chheene tol tol tol
Bairi coal coal, chheene hole se tol

You know what I mean ;)

12:05pm

Will DARE again...
5900PE @ 50
SL 46

12:27 PM

HnS in Making in 2 min.
Chu**yapa matt kariyo , Thokte chalo !
5863 SL

1:00 PM
Got Balls ??
Hold your SHORTS.

2:03 PM

Stay SHORT.

2:52 PM :

Switch to safer trading instrument that allows more time value. Probably Next Month Option Contacts.
Bet on big HnS in 30 min chart...

From here ,
Very Sooner or later we are taking a down town road.
From my side , its the December snow that has waken up the BEARS .
No more green in coming days.

Done for the day.

SS

Sunday, 23 December 2012

Why to SHORT Tata Motors ?

(Trader's All time favourite)
TATAMOTORS :

Close below 5 ema.
Daily Candlesticks since 2 days have engulfed the bullishness.
MACD posting Negative Divergence in Daily.
RSI direction : Cooling off from Overbought Levels.

First Target : Kiss to 13 ema , spot 290
Stop Loss as per your risk capacity.


P.S. : Tata Motors is a high beta sattori stock and near to expiry it is capable enough of bluffing the smartest of traders. Trading without SL is nonetheless digging your own pit.

SS

Friday, 21 December 2012

21 DEC :


I am here....
Watch out for live trades.

I am eyeing trading IN THE MONEY NIFTY puts today.
Lets see how it goes when we open.

9:36 am

LONG SBI
2300CE @ 75
SL 72

10:02

NIFTY : Chu Chu Chu......below 13 EMA

10 :46

SBI CE is at 88

Wink ;)

11:46 pm

SHORT SBI guys.
SHORT IT.
Current Spot : 2366

12:08 pm

You are a IDIOT  if you are not shorting.
Hns Man in SBI
Short Full Throttle

12:16 PM

SBI Current Spot : 2348
Wink it ;)

12:34 PM

NIFTY 6000PE @ 125 SL 121

12:45 PM

TATAMOTORS 300PE @4.30
SL 4




SS

Wednesday, 19 December 2012

Trade Set Up 20 Dec :


Please refer my yesterday post.

The point is WHEN TO SHORT ?

Pick up the daily chart , and locate 5/13/22 EMA.
At any point if Nifty dips below 5 ema , INITIATE Short position with SL above 5ema depending upon the candlestick formation in 2/5 minute charts.

And if prices dip below 13 EMA, Go Short Full throttle.

I am expecting a 100 point slide from here.
Each high posted by Nifty falls in Negative Divergence Zone.

SHORT is the key and When to short is the skill.

SS

Trade Set Up 19th Dec :

Afraid to SHORT ?
Want to buy stocks for delivery ?
This green has frustrated you ?
Looking to go long for miraculous targets ?

If all four convinces you , are you  new to STOCK MARKETS ??

 NIFTY : Lets see , what we should BET on.
1) Daily MACD Negative Divergence.
2) RSI Giving up , cooling off from overbought levels.
3) Daily MACD going flat , giving a room for better risk reward ratio for SHORTS as it has already posted a negative divergence.
4) Volumes perking up.

When to SHORT ?

We gave a close yesterday above 5/13/22 ema. That counts for a bullish scenario.
But , I will prefer going with shorts but when ?

The Answer is as simple as nursery rhyme.
SHORT FULL THROTTLE if prices dip below 5889 with SL 5890.
And bet all your chips if we dip below 5874.

My first target stays a Kiss to 22 ema in daily charts , below 5800.



If you think , Nifty is gonna make new highs this December , wait for your Santa Claus to gift you tonight :D

SS









Tuesday, 11 December 2012

Will be away for some days.

Hi All,

I am on extensive travel for few days .
Will resume post New Years.

Meanwhile , AXIS bank Short is my favorite pick for tomorrow or day after with SL 1335.
I am betting on BIG BIG HNS in 2min /5 min charts plus smaller time frame MACD 2/5/30 min giving sell signals.

Watch out for intraday , I will pefer MACD /RSI signals giving a break and blindly initiating a trade solely on spot prices (Hns Play).

Stop Loss 1335
Price will pass time between 1335 to 1315 ,more it does that , severe will be the fall.
Initiate shorts and on a quick slide book it below 1300. 1350 PE from 40 can turn into 60 with SL 33-34

Banking Sector is undergoing big news flows due to parliament sessions. Keep our SL tights for each trade.

My next post will be after a break.
Mostly By End of December.
Meanwhile Happy New Years.

P.S. If I am travelling . that does not means my trading positions ain't running.

SS




Monday, 10 December 2012

10 Dec :


10 :00 AM :

SHORT AXIS BANK
CMP : 1329 Spot
SL :1335 (day high)

12:10 pm

AXIS : Stay SHORT.
Book below 1300

SS

Friday, 7 December 2012

7 DEC :


10:00 AM

LONG LT 1650CE @ 65
Stop Loss 61

Positive divergence in bigger time frames.

10:15 am

LONG AXIS BANK
Current MRP 1354
Stop Loss : 1340
Target : 1380 +

Axis bank might move Very Slowly towards the Target.

11:00 am

LT 1650CE @ 74 now
Stop Loss trailed @ Cost 65
Willing to sell at 85

AXIS bank as expected will show up very slowly or hit the SL.

11:15 AM

Axis bank , Positive divergence when prices hit new intraday low.
Hard Stop loss at days low today 1348.

A kangaroo tail too spotted in 2 min charts during the intraday low confirming the positive divergence has been spotted by smart traders as well.

Keep your SL's tight and lets ride this Flight....AXIS BANK Current MRP 1352



SS

Thursday, 6 December 2012

6th Dec :


NIFTY : Wait before the storm settles.

12:45 pm

Classic example of Buy the rumor sell the news today.
I am failing to convince myself for a nifty trade today.

Eyeing BHEL on long side , if 30 min MACD cross takes place.


1:10 PM

Go LONG BHEL.
Positional.

CMP : 235.70
Stop Loss 234
Target 242 +

2:40 PM

Inverse HnS in BHEL in 2 min...Stay LONG
I will be holding overnight.

3:01 PM :

Watch out BHEL.

Self Belief can create wonders.


EOD

BHEL TARGET DONE !!!
Today was the day of Technicals.
No , it was not the news in last 45 min...that blew Nifty
MACD lovers know it.


Stay positionless


SS

Wednesday, 5 December 2012

Trade Plan 6th Dec :

What's Next ?

No prizes for guessing.
A Gap up.

Don't hurry up to initiate any trade before markets settles.
Atleast first hour market should be in watch mode.

Those who have longs, book it in the opening rally as I expect market should gradually condense back till friday to await  FDI Rajya Sabha clearance.

Tomorrow can be the DAY to trade Nifty.
 Momentum should pick up and big unidirectional moves on the cards.

Lets play THE BIG tomorrow.

SS

5th DEC :

9:26 AM

NIFTY : Can you ride a wild horse ? I cant.

STOCK : SHORT BHEL  if prices come back below 240 again

10:00 AM

Bhel below 240 now.
Dig the intraday chart , a black candle as prices were piercing 240.
Its Not only me who was eyeing this trade.
Many big boys too.

Stay SHORT with first SL @ 240 and if trading instrument is safer day high 241.50 as ultimate SL.

10: 20 pm

BHEL in RED.
Many don't , but all i have is immense confidence in myself.

11:30 PM

HNS in 5 min in BHEL.
Stay SHORT with SL 239.20 for a quick slide in 30-60 minutes.

12:25 pm

NIFTY : We mite fall from here.
              SHORT NIFTY
              CMP 5900
              SL 5906
Close Encounter.

1:19 pm

Nifty SL HIT.
BHEL : Big HnS in 2 min/5min , 30 min MACD remains bearish...
           The longer the HnS holds, severe the fall.
            Patient should get rewarded.

SL @ 239

1:37 PM

SHORT NIFTY AGAIN.
CMP : 5914
SL : 5917

Big Hns in 2,5 min and a small in 30 min  in BHEL.
SHORT FULL THROTTLE BHEL

1:55 PM

BHEL CRACKED !!!

Those who are yet confused about markets being a gambling place ,
should start digging a b c's of technical Analysis.

" Mathematics is whole world and whole world is Mathematics"

2:16 PM

Close Bhel Shorts now.
It can bounce. Positive divergence in smaller timeframes have come.

3:00 PM
5892 is 23 EMA in 30 min .
Perfect time to book shorts.


SS

Tuesday, 4 December 2012

Trade SET UP 5th Dec :


NIFTY : With political drama heating up pertaining to FDI , I would like to stay away from trading Nifty Currently .Wild whipsaws are too tough to ride on.

STOCK Pick : A contra trend trade.
                       I want to SHORT BHEL.

If tomorrow first 30 minutes , price stays below 240,
SHORT BHEL with SL 240. 
Today , prices returned after clocking 240 and since long time 240 has been a tough line for the counter to cross.

Daily Chart :



I will be betting on a possibility of a Shooting Star Candle Formation which markets a bullish TREND REVERSAL.

Shooting Star :



My first Target for Bhel stays 233 .

P.S. Any short trade on bhel (trend reversal) should have STRICT SL (@240) as  , I expect it can fly  if prices sustains over 240.

SS

4 Dec :

12:00 Noon

INFY :
Kangaroo tail in INFY in 2 min chart and 5 min...

Go LONG , current mrp 2439
SL 2435

1 PM

SHORT BHEL
CMP 239
SL 241
TARGET 233

1:15 PM.

Bhel in RED
Thokte Chalo.....

1:40 pm
Close BHEL shorts.
I am out of shorts.
It can bounce now.
positive divergences in smaller time frames


SS

Monday, 3 December 2012

3rd DEC :

NIFTY : Would like to SHORT.

5900 DEC PE @ 83.50
Stop Loss 80

10:20 AM

NIFTY SL @ Cost now.
Cofeee ?

10:55 AM
Shorts Closed @ 87

NIFTY LONG :

Current Spot : 5865
SL : 5862
Target : 5900+

11:45

Dont IGNORE HNS in 5 min.
GO SHORT with SL 5881

12:55pm

DOLLAR FIRST TARGET 54.60 done.

SHORT LT
Current SPOT 1666

1:25 pm

POWER OF HNS In 5 min...
NIFTY CRACKED
LT CRACKED.

Bang on. You know why ?
Because I believe Myself.

2:27 PM
SHORT INFY
Current spot 2433

3:05PM
CLose Infy Shorts.

Positional LONG INFY.
2450CE @ 50.50


SS

Saturday, 1 December 2012

DEC EXPIRY :


How many of you trade in currencies ?

If not, join me , activate currency trading in your demat and let's go LONG on

U.S. Dollar/Indian Rupee (^USDINR)


Rupee should weaken up now.
Current :
1 USD = 54.26 INR
Stop Loss of 54 INR ,
Go Long :
Targets : 54.60 INR , 55.00 ,55.50 INR.

Subsequently , NIFTY should soften up in range bound sessions for coming time.

In the midst ,
I want to catch INFOSYS near 2410-2420 price to go LONG with SL 2399 for Target 2500+

Not interested in trading Nifty currently.

SS